Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buying near the $2,669 area on Wednesday and builds on its steady intraday ascent through the first half of the European session. The US Dollar (USD) prolongs its retracement slide from over a two-year high touched earlier this week in the wake of a softer US Producer Price Index (PPI) released on Tuesday. This turns out to be a key factor lending support to the commodity, though the risk-on mood, along with hawkish Federal Reserve's (Fed) expectations, might cap gains.
Easing fears about US President-elect Donald Trump's disruptive trade tariffs boosts investors' confidence, which is evident from a generally positive tone around the equity markets. Furthermore, the upbeat US jobs report reaffirmed expectations that the Fed will pause its rate-cutting cycle later this month. This keeps the US Treasury bond yields and might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the non-yielding Gold price. Investors now look to the US consumer inflation figures for a fresh impetus.
Technical indicators on the daily chart have been gaining positive traction and support prospects for the emergence of some dip-buyers near the $2,663-2,662 area. Some follow-through selling, however, could drag the Gold price to the next relevant support near the $2,336-$2,635 region. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $2,615-2,614 confluence, comprising the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (SMA) and a multi-week-old ascending trend line. A convincing break below the latter would shift the near-term bias in favor of bearish traders and pave the way for deeper losses.
On the flip side, the $2,690 zone is likely to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $2,700 mark. Some follow-through buying will set the stage for an extension of over a three-week-old up-trend and lift the Gold price to the $2,716-2,717 hurdle en route to the December monthly swing high, around the $2,726 region.
Inflationary or deflationary tendencies are measured by periodically summing the prices of a basket of representative goods and services and presenting the data as The Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI data is compiled on a monthly basis and released by the US Department of Labor Statistics. The YoY reading compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the same month a year earlier.The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Read more.Next release: Wed Jan 15, 2025 13:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 2.9%
Previous: 2.7%
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
The US Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of maintaining price stability and maximum employment. According to such mandate, inflation should be at around 2% YoY and has become the weakest pillar of the central bank’s directive ever since the world suffered a pandemic, which extends to these days. Price pressures keep rising amid supply-chain issues and bottlenecks, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hanging at multi-decade highs. The Fed has already taken measures to tame inflation and is expected to maintain an aggressive stance in the foreseeable future.
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