DXY: Still 2-way trades on the day – OCBC
The US Dollar (USD) fell, alongside decline in UST yields. FX volatility eased further. DXY was last at 104.46 levels. AXJ FX also firmed this morning, with THB leading gains, OCBC’ FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Markets seem volatile for now
“Trump's threat on tariff is clearly one of the biggest risks that markets are concerned about, but we do not know how long it takes for those policies to be in place after all President inauguration only takes place on 20th Jan. Tariff risk and Trump policy uncertainty may keep USD supported on dips but in the event of a delay to implementing tariffs or even in the scenario it doesn’t materialise, then further unwinding of Trump trade may also be likely.”
“Daily momentum is showing a mild bearish bias while RSI fell. Support at 103.70/80 levels (21, 200 DMAs, 50% fibo retracement of 2023 high to 2024 low). Resistance at 104.60 (61.8% fibo), 105.20 and 105.60 levels (76.4% fibo).”
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