USD/CNH: To edge higher to 7.1500 before levelling off – UOB Group
Room for the US Dollar (USD) to edge higher to 7.1500 before levelling off. In the longer run, momentum is slowing; a breach of 7.0900 would indicate that USD is more likely to trade in a range instead of strengthening further, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Momentum is slowing
24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected USD to trade in a range between 7.0990 and 7.1330 yesterday. USD subsequently dipped to 7.1081, then rebounded to 7.1380. USD closed at 7.1365, higher by 0.29%. The advance resulted in a slight increase in momentum. Today, we see room for USD to rise to 7.1500 before levelling off. The major resistance at 7.1600 is unlikely to come into view. On the downside, a breach of 7.1200 (minor support is at 7.1280) would indicate that the current mild upward bias has eased.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our update from yesterday (21 Oct, spot at 7.1170) remains valid. As highlighted, the recent buildup in momentum is slowing, and a breach of 7.0900 would indicate that USD is more likely to trade in a range instead of strengthening further. Looking ahead, USD has to break and remain above 7.1500 before an advance to 7.1600 can be expected.”
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